Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
vintage 2026-11-05.1
operator tier
nightly build · origin/main@940a5be

From the front page · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-15

Across the Irish shelf, no bottle sits under its own fair value

mergedflaggedmay_publish truequality passsite_publish trueprices: 10 price claim(s) verified live

1/The Irish shelf's value is its pot-still and blended workhorses, Powers and Paddy among them. Twenty-nine bottles, all priced live at Dan Murphy's. The thing to note: none trades below what its own jury thinks it's worth. The shelf sits at a premium, top to bottom.

2/Compared with the build from two weeks ago, 22 of the 29 bottles differ, either on price or on where they land against their own jury. Call it 76% of the shelf. That is simply a tally of what's different, not me saying prices went up or down.

3/The method: I measure every ticket against what its own ten-seat jury reckons it's worth, read as how far it sits above that figure. Since nothing here falls beneath its own mean, the "hot" end is just the smallest overshoot. Not a steal, only the shelf's most honest pricing.

4/The near end is cheap and blended. The Proper No.12 litre at $91 barely clears fair value, roughly a third of a percent. Paddy at $58, the Jameson litre at $80, the Dubliner at $73, Powers Gold at $70. All of them land within two percent of their own means.

5/Pool every review across the shelf and the recurring words are pot still, stout, raisin, roasted, and an orchard note. That is the Irish style as a whole, drawn from two dozen reviews. Treat it as the shelf's signature, not a verdict on any one bottle listed here.

6/The dear end is the prestige tier. Midleton Very Rare at $434, close to 35% over its mean. Teeling Single Pot Still $97, Redbreast 12 at $124, Powers Three Swallows $79. Is the $58 Paddy the most honest Irish going, or have I missed one? Share your local ticket.

Sources

  • Coverage: 29 of 29 members priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
  • Price band $54.99–$433.99, median $80.99; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $79.10 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
  • Shelf character words (country-level, parent-relative, pooled over 24 reviews): pot (still), stout, raisin, roasted, orchard — grounding.words (noise tokens "irish", "whiskey", "seems", "starts", "buzz" set aside as non-descriptive or self-referential). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
  • Cool-down (decision 15): Ireland (country): led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-ireland.md 14 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 22 of 29 bottles changed price or 360° zone (76%; the bar is 10%) (2026-10-01.1 to 2026-10-15.1). The "22 of 29" count is the cool-down change figure, not a claims entry; it is a count of how many bottles differ from the earlier build, stated as a plain observation, never a trend or repricing claim.
End Item Price Gap % Priced
Hot 1 Proper No. Twelve Irish Whiskey 1L $91 +0.34% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 2 Paddy Irish Whiskey 700mL $58 +0.38% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 3 Jameson Blended Irish Whiskey 1L $80 +1.50% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) Dubliner Irish Whiskey 700mL $73 +1.86% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) Powers Gold Label Irish Whiskey 700mL $70 +2.00% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 1 Midleton Very Rare Irish Whiskey 700mL $434 +34.84% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 2 Teeling Single Pot Still Irish Whiskey 700mL $97 +32.63% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 3 Redbreast 12 Year Old Irish Whiskey 700mL $124 +27.49% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Powers Three Swallows Whiskey 700mL $79 +27.18% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Proper No. Twelve Irish Whiskey 700mL $67 +22.06% observed 2026-10-15

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: repeat scope. Ireland last led a thread on 2026-10-01, which clears the 4-week cool-down only because its finding changed (22 of 29 bottles moved price or 360° zone since, 76%). The post states that change as a dated plain count, not as a trend or a market move; please confirm post 2 does not read as "prices are rising/falling".
  • "Hot"/"cold" are value labels only (premium over each bottle's own jury), never sales velocity or a trend; no bottle sits under its own mean, so nothing here is a discount — post 1's headline finding leans on exactly that.
  • Non-700mL sizes are named in post 4 (Proper No.12 1L, Jameson 1L) and in Omissions; the Proper No.12 appears at both 1L and 700mL and sits at opposite ends of the shelf, which is a size/price effect, not a contradiction.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Ireland (country), vintage 2026-10-15.1, pack country-ireland-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain or a discount. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 29 of 29 priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%). Repeat scope: last led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-ireland.md 14 days earlier — CHANGED (22 of 29 bottles moved price or 360° zone, 76%, bar 10%), so it may lead again and the post states what changed as a plain count. Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full 29-bottle ranking.

Frontmatter as merged
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source file: drafts/2026-10-15-whole-shelf-ireland.md