Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
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From the Teeling desk · Thread · Similarity surprise · 2026-09-10

The engine's eighth-closest pair crosses the Irish Sea

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 2 price claim(s) verified live

1/An Irish blend and a Scottish single malt. Nobody on whisky-Twitter would ever put those two on the same shelf. The engine puts them eighth-closest in the whole catalogue: Teeling Small Batch Stout Cask against Deanston Virgin Oak.

2/That closeness is profile geometry, not two glasses poured side by side. The model reads their flavour make-up as neighbours, which says nothing about pouring them together — I'm not claiming they'd taste alike in the glass.

3/Where they land right now is the interesting part. Deanston Virgin Oak is on a ticket of ninety-two dollars, and on that price it sits under the floor of its peer group and at the very bottom of its own recent range. Cohort and history, both pointing cheap, same bottle.

4/Teeling's the mirror. It's a member offer this Thursday, and on that price it reads low in its band and at the bottom of its own window. So which crosses the counter: the Irish stout-cask blend at a hundred and two, or the Deanston the model calls its match?

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-10-replay/similarity-surprise/teeling-small-batch-stout-cask-irish-whiskey-700ml-deanston--7dc701, vintage 2026-09-10.r, own-history window as-of 2026-09-10.
  • Teeling Small Batch Stout Cask Irish Whiskey 700mL: ticket/list $102 (claim value 102.0; grounding.ref.price 102.0), My Dan Murphy's member offer with in-window price $85 (grounding.ref.price_in_window 85.0; position.member_offer true). Band position 'low in band' (grounding.ref.band_position), own-history percentile 0.0 / direction cheap (grounding.ref.own_history_percentile, own_history_direction), both axes agree (grounding.ref.agrees true) — computed on the $85 member price.
  • Deanston Virgin Oak Single Malt Whisky 700mL: ticket/list $92 (claim value 92.0; grounding.cand.price 92.0), in-window price $84 (grounding.cand.price_in_window 84.0). Band position 'under floor' (grounding.cand.band_position), own-history percentile 0.0 / direction cheap (grounding.cand.own_history_percentile, own_history_direction), both axes agree (grounding.cand.agrees true).
  • Closeness: CE rank 8 (grounding.ce_rank 8, within the format's cutoff of 10); VSM profile rank 19 (candidate.pair.vsm_rank, rank_diff 11).
  • Never shelve together: same_country false (Teeling Ireland, Deanston Scotland; grounding.same_country), same_style false (Teeling Blended, Deanston single malt; grounding.same_style). Payload price_ratio 1.11 (grounding.price_ratio 1.1087), below the 2.0 tier threshold, so the divergence quoted is country/style, not price tier.

Omissions

  • Light form only: no numeric CE 360 band bounds, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test. The post uses the position labels ('under the floor', 'low in its band'), not the numbers, and asserts none of the full-form statistics.
  • Teeling's value read is on the member price ($85), not the ticket ($102). The post states the member basis rather than leaving it implied. Deanston's read is on its $84 in-window price against the $92 ticket.
  • The hook rests on CE rank 8, not rank 1; the post names the rank.
  • No per-bottle tasting scores asserted; no claim the two taste alike side by side.
  • No trend, mechanism, or reason offered for any price; the labels are value-signal only.

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Similarity-surprise, light form: two live tickets, each bottle's band-position label and own-history percentile, the pair's CE rank. It lacks the full form — numeric CE 360 band bounds, cross-read CEARP, and the Welch t-test are unbuilt in the module and NOT quoted. The hook rests on CE rank 8, not rank 1, and the post says so. Teeling's ticket is a My Dan Murphy's member offer; its position labels are computed on the member/in-window price ($85), and the piece discloses that.

Frontmatter as merged
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