Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05
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From the Dimple desk · Thread · Compare the pair · 2026-09-10

Two 12-year blends the engine can barely tell apart

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 2 price claim(s) verified live

1/Here is a pairing the engine almost couldn't split. Dimple 12 and Dewar's 12: both Scottish blends, both twelve years old, both 700mL, and this week both are sitting at their own cheapest. Dimple is $54, Dewar's is $63.

2/On make-up the profile model puts Dewar's as the single closest bottle to Dimple on the whole shelf. Rank one of one. Two twelve-year blends, and the model reads them as near-enough the same character.

3/The value model agrees, near enough. Where the profile model has them first, the worth-for-money read puts the pair second. One place apart across two different models. I do not see that often.

4/Both prices are plain shelf tickets, neither a members-only deal, and each bottle is at the floor of the seven weeks I have tracked it. So the split comes down to nine dollars. Dimple at $54 saves you that over Dewar's at $63, for two whiskies the engine treats as twins.

5/Which floor do you take? The cheaper Dimple, or the Dewar's if you already know the pour. Both Dan Murphy's. If your local ticket reads differently, tell me the number.

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-10-replay/compare-the-pair/dimple-12-year-old-blended-scotch-whisky-700ml-dewar-s-12-ye-3fa52c, grounded on vintage 2026-09-10.r, window as-of 2026-09-10.
  • Dimple 12 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL: shelf ticket $54 (claim / grounding.ref.price), not a member offer; at its own-history floor (percentile 0.0, quiet_discount, price variation present, 7 observations). Scotland, Blended, age 12.
  • Dewar's 12 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL: shelf ticket $63 (claim / grounding.cand.price), not a member offer; at its own-history floor (percentile 0.0, quiet_discount, price variation present, 7 observations). Scotland, Blended, age 12.
  • Same country and same style: grounding.same_country true, grounding.same_style true; both age 12 (candidate.pair.ref_age / cand_age).
  • Similarity: VSM profile score 0.987963, VSM rank 1; CE utility score 0.036073, CE rank 2 (grounding.vsm_score / grounding.ce_score, candidate.pair.vsm_rank / ce_rank, rank_diff -1).
  • The $9 split is $63 − $54 (the two claim prices).

Omissions

  • Light form only: no CE 360° band, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test on the two means. Ruled out here, not implied — the module does not compute them.
  • Each leg carries 7 in-window observations; the 'at the floor' read rests on a seven-week history and the post keeps it to a timing observation, never a movement or trend claim (CHANNEL.md §1).
  • The entry carries a pair-level sum/difference test; it is the selection trigger only and is not quoted. Seven snapshots make it an ordinal gate, so the post treats 'both at their own floor' as an observation, not a significance claim.
  • No bundle price is asserted; the only figures are the two live tickets and their $9 difference.
  • Symmetric by design: every field stated for one bottle is stated for the other in the same shape (price, floor, member basis, country, style, age, both ranks).

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Compare the pair, automated light form. Two shelf tickets and each bottle's own-history percentile; no CE 360 bands, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test on two means (light form). Both prices shelf basis, neither a member offer. Both 700mL, both Scotland, both Blended, both 12yo. The profile model ranks them 1st-closest (VSM 0.987963); the value model ranks the pair 2nd (CE 0.036073), rank_diff -1 — near-identical on both reads, not a claim they are the same liquid.

Frontmatter as merged
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