From the Tomintoul desk · Thread · Price raid · 2026-08-20

Tomintoul 16 lands beneath its own fair-value floor

mergedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish trueprices: 1 price claim(s) verified live

1/Aged Speyside rarely turns up this cheap. Tomintoul 16 is $132 for My Dan Murphy's members this week, against a shelf price of $181. It's the lower figure that's the news: a members' offer, not a repricing.

2/Where the ticket sits matters more than the sticker. This bottle's CE 360° jury calls fair value about $151, with a band floor of $141. At $132 the members' price is under the floor: genuinely below what its peers reckon it's worth.

3/Tomintoul is the quiet corner of Speyside — light, orchard-fruited, no big sherry, no smoke. A soft sixteen-year-old for $132 as of this morning. A smart aged-Speyside buy at that money, or too gentle for your taste? Post your local ticket.

Sources

generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-20-replay/price-raid/tomintoul-16-years-old-single-malt-scotch-whisky-700ml-9a7e8c; harvest pair base 2026-08-13, latest 2026-08-20.
List price $181 (claim value 181.0; grounding.current_price 181.0; harvest price_list $180.99 both weeks, unchanged). Member offer $132 this week (grounding.current_price_harvest 132.0; harvest price_member $132.00, on_offer yes 2026-08-20); no offer 2026-08-13 (price_member = price_list = $180.99).
CE 360° fair value: mean $150.85, band floor $141.48 (2026-08-20.r dossier tomintoul-16-years-old-single-malt-scotc-neighbourhood.md, reference card; gap over consensus 16.6% = 76th percentile).
Character: factor profile Orchard & Cereal 0.14 (light, soft, orchard, gentle) — same dossier.

Omissions

No peer prices quoted; the standing rests on the bottle's own CE 360 jury.
Member basis: $132 is a My Dan Murphy's member price; non-members pay the unchanged $181 shelf. Stated in the post.
No percentage move quoted; the piece states the offer's presence, not a trend.

Notes for reviewer

Clears the bar: $132 is under the CE 360 mean ($150.85) and under the band floor ($141.48) — a real standing story.
Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-08-20.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Price raid, member basis. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-08-13 → 2026-08-20: list price unchanged at $181 both weeks; the $132 is a My Dan Murphy's member offer present this week and absent last (member-to-member comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360 fair value ($150.85, 2026-08-20.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false.

Frontmatter as merged

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 "title": "Tomintoul 16 lands beneath its own fair-value floor",
 "angle": "price-raid",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated replay cycle grounds this on the week's harvest pair and the vintage's CE 360 bands, no spoke article backs it",
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premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven

Tomintoul 16 Years Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky

$180.99list 11-05

CE 360° $161.22 · 10.9% over · #53 of 79 in Speyside

per standard drink $5.98 · #46 of 75 in Speyside

26 pieces · observed

source file: drafts/2026-08-20-price-raid-tomintoul-16.md