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From the Blanton's desk · Thread · Compare the pair · 2026-08-06

The bourbon the engine twins but won't price alike

mergedflaggedmay_publish falsequality passsite_publish falseprices: Blanton's Original Private Reserve Singl: no Stockcode resolved for...

1/Two American bourbons the profile model files as neighbours and the value model shoves apart. Blanton's Original Single Barrel, $153. Wild Turkey Longbranch, $67. One engine calls them close; the other won't have it.

2/By flavour make-up they land eighteenth on Blanton's nearest-neighbour list. Close, for a set this size. That is the shape of the profile, mind, not two glasses poured beside each other. Both Kentucky, both around the same young age statement.

3/Then the utility model steps in and ranks the Longbranch one-hundred-fourteenth, not eighteenth. Same rough profile, a wildly different verdict on what each bottle is worth. Eighty-six dollars sit between them.

4/Only one of the pair is cheap this minute. The Longbranch is parked at the floor of its own recent range at $67, no membership deal doing the work. Blanton's holds steady at $153. If you are buying, the timing favours the Wild Turkey.

5/So: a near-match on paper the value model flatly refuses to price alike. Is Blanton's Original worth the extra over the Longbranch, or is the cheaper Kentucky the smarter everyday bourbon? (Both Dan Murphy's, this Thursday.)

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-06-replay/compare-the-pair/blanton-s-original-private-reserve-single-barrel-bourbon-700-49672e, grounded on vintage 2026-08-06.r, window as-of 2026-08-06.
  • Blanton's Original Private Reserve Single Barrel Bourbon 700mL: live ticket $153 (claim / grounding.ref.price), shelf basis, not a member offer; not at its own floor (no price variation, 2 observations in window).
  • Wild Turkey Longbranch 700mL: live ticket $67 (claim / grounding.cand.price), shelf basis, not a member offer; at its own floor (quiet_discount, own-history percentile 0.0, price variation present, 2 observations).
  • Similarity: VSM profile cosine 0.8379, VSM rank 18; CE utility score 0.0503, CE rank 114 (candidate.pair, rank_diff -96). Both USA, ~3-year age statement; different/unknown style tag. Gap $86 ($153 - $67); literal bundle sum $220.

Omissions

  • Light form only: no CE 360 band, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test on the two means. Those are ruled out here, not implied.
  • The closeness is profile geometry (VSM) alone. The engine's own value model ranks the pair 114th, not 18th, and the post says so rather than claiming the two are equivalent.
  • Only Wild Turkey Longbranch is at its price floor this week; Blanton's is not. The timing read is one-legged and the post states it.
  • Bundle price is not asserted beyond the literal sum of the two tickets ($220).

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: VSM-only closeness (profile rank 18 vs value rank 114). Filed as a profile-similarity / value-divergence piece, the format's supported light-form case. Confirm it reads as 'similar profile, different value verdict', not 'these two are the same bottle'.
  • Both legs carry only 2 in-window observations this early in the 13-week window, and the Blanton's leg shows no price variation: thin grounding, flagged. Neither is stale (both observed this cycle); sizes match (700mL each).
  • Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-08-06.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Compare the pair, automated light form. Two live tickets and each bottle's own-history position only, no CE 360 bands, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test (the module does not produce them). Closeness is VSM-only: the pair sits 18th by profile (VSM) and 114th by the engine utility model (CE), so it is filed as a profile-similarity / value-divergence piece. Both prices shelf basis; only Wild Turkey Longbranch is at its own floor (quiet_discount), Blanton's is not. Both 700mL.

Frontmatter as merged
{
 "date": "2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "The bourbon the engine twins but won't price alike",
 "angle": "compare-the-pair",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated cycle grounds this on the vintage build and live tickets, no long-form article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "2026-08-06.r (CE/VSM ranks); own-history window as-of 2026-08-06",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "flagged",
 "artefact_id": "2026-08-06-replay/compare-the-pair/blanton-s-original-private-reserve-single-barrel-bourbon-700-49672e",
 "format_note": "Compare the pair, automated light form. Two live tickets and each bottle's own-history position only, no CE 360 bands, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test (the module does not produce them). Closeness is VSM-only: the pair sits 18th by profile (VSM) and 114th by the engine utility model (CE), so it is filed as a profile-similarity / value-divergence piece. Both prices shelf basis; only Wild Turkey Longbranch is at its own floor (quiet_discount), Blanton's is not. Both 700mL.",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Blanton's Original Private Reserve Single Barrel Bourbon 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 153
  },
  {
   "item": "Wild Turkey Wild Turkey Longbranch Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 67
  }
 ],
 "subjects": [
  "Blanton's Original Private Reserve Single Barrel Bourbon 700mL",
  "Wild Turkey Wild Turkey Longbranch Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL"
 ],
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T05:07:31.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-08-06.normalised.csv, as of 2026-08-06)",
 "verification_note": "Blanton's Original Private Reserve Singl: no Stockcode resolved for this name; Wild Turkey Wild Turkey Longbranch Kentu: no Stockcode resolved for this name",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T05:07:31.000Z",
 "site_publish": false
}
premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven
source file: drafts/2026-08-06-compare-blantons-original-wild-turkey-longbranch.md